Will "Principles for the AGI Race" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ2502026
11%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Principles for the AGI Race is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "AI: Practical Advice for the Worried" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
31% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "The basic reasons I expect AGI ruin" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Alexander and Yudkowsky on AGI goals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind:
..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "What I Would Do If I Were Working On AI Gover..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
85% chance
Will "Nobody’s on the ball on AGI alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Orienting to 3 year AGI timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "Clarifying and predicting AGI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance