Will "Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Ant..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
0
Ṁ1k2027
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Anti-Scheming Training is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Tips for Empirical Alignment Research" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "What Is The Alignment Problem?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "You’re always stressed, your mind is always b..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Towards Alignment Auditing as a Numbers-Go-Up..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Will Any Crap Cause Emergent Misalignment?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Alignment Faking Revisited: Improved Classifi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Natural emergent misalignment from reward hac..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Alignment Pretraining: AI Discourse Causes Se..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance
Will "Emergent Misalignment: Narrow finetuning can ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Model Organisms for Emergent Misalignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance