Will "SolidGoldMagikarp II: technical details and m..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
2
Ṁ27Feb 1
20%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post SolidGoldMagikarp II: technical details and more recent findings is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "SolidGoldMagikarp (plus, prompt generation)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
90% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
71% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "The Waluigi Effect (mega-post)" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
77% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "The Dial of Progress" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
19% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "On green" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
81% chance
Will "The King and the Golem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance