Will "Programmatic backdoors: DNNs can use SGD to r..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
1
Ṁ10Feb 1
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Programmatic backdoors: DNNs can use SGD to run arbitrary stateful computation is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Steering GPT-2-XL by adding an activation vector" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "Predictable updating about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
53% chance
Will "Speaking to Congressional staffers about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "How it feels to have your mind hacked by an AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
32% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Why Not Just... Build Weak AI Tools For AI Al..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Cognitive Emulation: A Naive AI Safety Proposal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "AGI Safety and Alignment at Google DeepMind:
..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "LeCun’s “A Path Towards Autonomous Machine In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "Talking publicly about AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance