Will "Backdoors as an analogy for deceptive alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
2
Ṁ2002026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Backdoors as an analogy for deceptive alignment is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Alignment Implications of LLM Successes: a De..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
57% chance
Will ""Carefully Bootstrapped Alignment" is organiz..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
30% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will ""Carefully Bootstrapped Alignment" is organiz..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
28% chance
Will "Discussion with Nate Soares on a key alignmen..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Alignment Faking in Large Language Models" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
85% chance
Will "Deep Honesty" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "A Case for the Least Forgiving Take On Alignment" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Davidad's Bold Plan for Alignment: An In-Dept..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance