Will "OpenAI: Fallout" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
2
Ṁ702026
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post OpenAI: Fallout is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "AI catastrophes and rogue deployments" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "AI Timelines" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Deep atheism and AI risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "OpenAI: The Battle of the Board" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "OpenAI: Facts from a Weekend" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "OpenAI o1" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "OpenAI: Exodus" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Non-Disparagement Canaries for OpenAI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "What I Would Do If I Were Working On AI Gover..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
16% chance