Will "One-layer transformers aren’t equivalent to a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
0
Ṁ100resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post One-layer transformers aren’t equivalent to a set of skip-trigrams is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Deep learning as program synthesis" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "How Well Does RL Scale?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Scalable End-to-End Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "From SLT to AIT: NN generalisation out-of-dis..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance
Will "A non-review of "If Anyone Builds It, Everyon..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "Recent AI model progress feels mostly like bu..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Attribution-based parameter decomposition" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Power Lies Trembling: a three-book review" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
23% chance