Will "I don't think MIRI "gave up"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
1
10
Ṁ20Ṁ120
2025
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post I don't think MIRI "gave up" is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ200 play money
More related questions
Related questions
Will "MIRI 2024 Mission and Strategy Update" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Please don't throw your mind away" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "The Witness" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Most People Don't Realize We Have No Idea How..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "The Plan - 2023 Version" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "Believing In" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
87% chance
Will "Discussion: Challenges with Unsupervised LLM ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "The Translucent Thoughts Hypotheses and Their..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance