Will "How much do you believe your results?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
10
Ṁ304Feb 1
90%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post How much do you believe your results? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
72% chance
Will "How to Bounded Distrust" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "When can we trust model evaluations?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "What are the results of more parental supervi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance