Will "Gradual Disempowerment: Systemic Existential ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
4
100Ṁ64
2027
37%
chance

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post Gradual Disempowerment: Systemic Existential Risks from Incremental AI Development is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules