Will "Do you believe in hundred dollar bills lying ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ2002026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Do you believe in hundred dollar bills lying on the ground? Consider humming is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
71% chance
Will "Things I Learned by Spending Five Thousand Ho..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Assume Bad Faith" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "The Story of "I Have Been A Good Bing"" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
30% chance
Will "Assume Bad Faith" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "How much do you believe your results?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
90% chance
Will "How to (hopefully ethically) make money off o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Humming is not a free $100 bill" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "Why Would Belief-States Have A Fractal Struct..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
44% chance