Will "Discriminating Behaviorally Identical Classif..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Mini
0
2026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Discriminating Behaviorally Identical Classifiers: a model problem for applying interpretability to scalable oversight is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "Towards Developmental Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "Some (problematic) aesthetics of what constit..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Childhoods of exceptional people" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
62% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "Model Organisms of Misalignment: The Case for..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
79% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Priors and Prejudice" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
19% chance