Will "Carl Sagan, nuking the moon, and not nuking t..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ12026
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Carl Sagan, nuking the moon, and not nuking the moon is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "My views on “doom”" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
62% chance
Will "Constellations are Younger than Continents" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
37% chance
Will "Shutting Down the Lightcone Offices" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "A stylized dialogue on John Wentworth's claim..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
26% chance
Will "Discussion with Nate Soares on a key alignmen..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "An Extremely Opinionated Annotated List of My..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "ASIs will not leave just a little sunlight fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "And All the Shoggoths Merely Players" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
38% chance