
Will ""AI achieves silver-medal standard solving In..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
5
Ṁ1kṀ896resolved Feb 27
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post "AI achieves silver-medal standard solving International Mathematical Olympiad problems" is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ46 | |
| 2 | Ṁ38 | |
| 3 | Ṁ7 | |
| 4 | Ṁ2 | |
| 5 | Ṁ0 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "My picture of the present in AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
48% chance
Will "How AI Is Learning to Think in Secret" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "AI 2027: Responses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "2025 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "2024 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "Checking in on AI-2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify S..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "AI in 2025: gestalt" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Comparative advantage & AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance