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MANIFOLD
Will "AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify S..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
1
Ṁ1kṀ10
2028
14%
chance

As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2026 Review resolves in February 2028.

This market will resolve to 100% if the post AIs can now often do massive easy-to-verify SWE tasks and I've updated towards shorter timelines is one of the top fifty posts of the 2026 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.

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