Will "AI #4: Introducing GPT-4" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
2
Ṁ1kṀ110resolved Feb 11
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post AI #4: Introducing GPT-4 is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ14 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "2024 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "METR's Evaluation of GPT-5" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "AI in 2025: gestalt" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "AI 2027: Responses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "2025 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "So You Think You've Awoken ChatGPT" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "AI 2027: What Superintelligence Looks Like" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
85% chance
Will "Vitalik's Response to AI 2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance