Will "AI 2027: What Superintelligence Looks Like" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10
Ṁ1kṀ827Feb 1
88%
chance
3
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post AI 2027: What Superintelligence Looks Like is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "AI 2027: Responses" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "AI in 2025: gestalt" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "How AI Takeover Might Happen in 2 Years" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
42% chance
Will "Thoughts on AI 2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
16% chance
Will "AI 2027 is a Bet Against Amdahl's Law" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "2024 in AI predictions" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "Checking in on AI-2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Vitalik's Response to AI 2027" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "Comparative advantage & AI" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance