Will "Ability to solve long-horizon tasks correlate..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Basic
0
Feb 1
14%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Ability to solve long-horizon tasks correlates with wanting things in the behaviorist sense is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "Significantly Enhancing Adult Intelligence Wi..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
68% chance
Will "The Learning-Theoretic Agenda: Status 2023" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
47% chance
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Optimistic Assumptions, Longterm Planning, an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Attitudes about Applied Rationality" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
43% chance
Will "Updatelessness doesn't solve most problems" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
55% chance
Will "Skills from a year of Purposeful Rationality ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "The Base Rate Times, news through prediction ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Skills I'd like my collaborators to have" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
31% chance