Will "0. CAST: Corrigibility as Singular Target" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Plus
1
Ṁ232026
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post 0. CAST: Corrigibility as Singular Target is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Accidentally Load Bearing" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
41% chance
Will "Lessons On How To Get Things Right On The Fir..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
51% chance
Will "Cohabitive Games so Far" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
34% chance
Will "Towards Developmental Interpretability" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
69% chance
Will "There are no coherence theorems" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Without fundamental advances, misalignment an..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
46% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
21% chance
Will "A rough and incomplete review of some of John..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Model, Care, Execution" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
22% chance
Will "What I would do if I wasn’t at ARC Evals" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
13% chance