Will "Serious Flaws in CAST" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
0
Ṁ1k2027
14%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Serious Flaws in CAST is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will "Futarchy's fundamental flaw" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
24% chance
Will "Problems I've Tried to Legibilize" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
9% chance
Will "Von Neumann's Fallacy and You" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Reviewing LessWrong: Screwtape's Basic Answer" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
5% chance
Will "The Tale of the Top-Tier Intellect" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "The Problem" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "It's hard to make scheming evals look realist..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "The Best Lack All Conviction: A Confusing Day..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Will Any Crap Cause Emergent Misalignment?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will "This is a review of the reviews" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
8% chance