Israel will invade Lebanon before May 2024
31
163
Ṁ9.2KṀ570
resolved May 1
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve as yes if the IDF spokesman announces the IDF entering Lebanon.
Air raids, artillery fire, or surgical ground raids will not count. Only large scale ground operation.
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ226 | |
2 | Ṁ51 | |
3 | Ṁ48 | |
4 | Ṁ34 | |
5 | Ṁ27 |
Related questions
[Metaculus] Will Israel expand its ground invasion to the city of Rafah before June 1, 2024?
89% chance
Will the Israel invade Lebanon by the end of 2024?
33% chance
Situation in Israel escalates to WW3 before 2025 (Weighted—Read Desc)
28% chance
Will Israel go to war against Iran by June of 2024
5% chance
Will Israel and Lebanon/Hezbollah go to war in 2024?
45% chance
Will Hezbollah attack northern Israel before Sept. 2024, similarly to how Hamas attacked southern Israel on October 7?
18% chance
Will Israeli soldiers set foot in Iran before the end of 2025?
9% chance
[Metaculus] Will at least one of Egypt, Jordan, or Lebanon be at war with Israel on May 31, 2024?
12% chance