
Will Manifold add a "let the AI resolve it" market resolution option by the end of 2023?
38
730Ṁ3010resolved Oct 9
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Assuming an API that has sufficient capabilities is available, it's plausible that you could have a chatbot/LLM scan your market's headline and resolution criteria, and then give you its opinion about whether your market was resolved correctly. You could even ask the chat bot multiple times with different seeds (or ask different models) to get a sort of chatbot jury resolution.
I have no idea how much I'd trust such a system, but regardless of whether it's a good idea, if Manifold adds this option as an auto-resolving criteria before the end of 2023, this market resolves YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ142 | |
2 | Ṁ82 | |
3 | Ṁ32 | |
4 | Ṁ30 | |
5 | Ṁ17 |
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Manifold let AI autoresolve markets by 2028?
26% chance
Will Manifold introduce an AI-based feature that automatically resolves markets by 2030?
83% chance
Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?
71% chance
When will the final resolved market on Manifold be resolved?
Will Manifold add dedicated conditional markets in 2024 or 2025?
11% chance
Will Manifold implement another way to handle conditional markets before 2026?
35% chance
Will any Manifold markets created in 2023 be resolved in 2050 by the original author?
81% chance