We're the first and/or only intelligent life in our light cone

Intelligent life is doomed to destroy itself

Something makes interstellar expansion incredibly impossible

Parallel to this market, but with different options.

https://manifold.markets/lukalot/solution-for-the-fermi-paradox

"Resolves when a solution to the Fermi Paradox is widely agreed upon in the scientific community in response to empirical evidence."

For context, the "Grabby Aliens" hypothesis is here for those who haven't heard of it:

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