Will OpenAI release a product with stateful AI agents by 2025?
Basic
7
Ṁ243Jan 2
80%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves to YES if OpenAI offers or announces a system with a substantial (determined by their marketing and general consensus) and novel architectural component enabling long-term memory, and justifying use cases where an instance unique to an end user is maintained beyond the duration of a single project.
This does not include:
arbitrarily large context windows
‘scratchpad’ style summarization of things to remember
Other additions which are already possible (late 2023) via API
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
26% chance
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before the end of 2024?
8% chance
Will OpenAI release an AI product with a cool name by Jan 1, 2025?
25% chance
Will OpenAI Announce AI Robots in 2024?
12% chance
Will OpenAI release o2 before 2026?
79% chance
Will OpenAI release their o1 model before 2025?
85% chance
Will OpenAI release an AI-powered device in 2024? (Official Partnerships with Snap, Amazon, etc. would count)
30% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
44% chance
Will OpenAI make a product that allows for direct control of your computer before 2025?
22% chance
Will OpenAI announce a major breakthrough in AI alignment in 2024?
21% chance