Will a settlement be started on the moon by 2035?
24
1kṀ11082035
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if:
Humans are living on the surface or on the inside of the moon at the start of 2035.
Resolves N/A if:
The moon or earth don't exist by 2035 for whatever reason
Resolves NO if:
No humans are living on the surface of the Humans are living on the surface or on the inside of the moon at the start of 2035.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
@ThomasMcDevitt I think for the question, settlement can be defined as requiring one or more people onsite.
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a new human moon landing by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Will there be a moon base by 2030?
18% chance
Will a good or service be sold on the moon by 2050?
49% chance
Will any water be mined on the Moon by 2030?
28% chance
Will SpaceX put their HLS lander on the Moon by end of 2025?
11% chance
Will a Japanese astronaut land on Moon by 2035?
65% chance
Will someone perform a wedding ceremony on the moon by the end of 2030?
4% chance
Will a non-American go to the moon by 2030?
68% chance
Will there be a Moon base by 2040?
69% chance
Will there be an effective altruist on the moon before 2035
13% chance