What ELO will LLAMA 3.2 model get on LMSys?
Standard
5
Ṁ998Nov 1
1D
1W
1M
ALL
11%
1266 or below (below llama 3.1 model)
15%
1336 to 1339 (slightly below current best models)
15%
1340 to 1355 (significantly ahead)
8%
1356 or above (far ahead)
21%
1316 to 1335 (within OpenAI models)
31%
1267 to 1315 (best open source model)
Llama 3.2 is a collection of large language models (LLMs) pretrained and fine-tuned in 1B and 3B sizes that are multilingual text only, and 11B and 90B sizes that take both text and image inputs and output text. https://www.llama.com/
inspired from https://manifold.markets/Moscow25/what-elo-will-openais-o1-model-get?play=true
Get
1,000and
1.00
1,0001.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Meta release an LLM named something like 'Llama 3.3' by the end of 2024?
29% chance
What organization will have the top language model on LMSys overall leaderboards December 1st 2024?
Will Llama-3 (or next open Meta model) be obviously good in its first-order effects on the world?
87% chance
How many active parameters will the largest Llama 3 have?
77% chance
ELO of GPT-4.5 on LLM arena (1 month after release)
Llama 3 405B ELO on Lmsys Arena Leaderboard 2 weeks after first appearance?
What organization will have the highest ELO score in the LMSYS Org Chatbot Arena Leaderboard at the end of Dec, 2024?
Will there exist a service for full-parameter fine-tuning of Llama 3.1 405B?
79% chance
Will any LLM outrank GPT-4 by 150 Elo in LMSYS chatbot arena before 2025?
19% chance
will meta release Llama 3.3 models before Llama 4?
61% chance