What ELO will LLAMA 3.2 model get on LMSys?
7
1kṀ3384resolved Nov 2
ResolvedN/A
92%
1266 or below (below llama 3.1 model)
1.3%
1336 to 1339 (slightly below current best models)
1.4%
1340 to 1355 (significantly ahead)
1.5%
1356 or above (far ahead)
1.5%
1316 to 1335 (within OpenAI models)
1.8%
1267 to 1315 (best open source model)
Llama 3.2 is a collection of large language models (LLMs) pretrained and fine-tuned in 1B and 3B sizes that are multilingual text only, and 11B and 90B sizes that take both text and image inputs and output text. https://www.llama.com/
inspired from https://manifold.markets/Moscow25/what-elo-will-openais-o1-model-get?play=true
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will a model get 1500 elo on lmarena (lmsys) before July 2025?
4% chance
Model at 1600 Elo on lmarena before 2026?
17% chance
How many active parameters will the largest Llama 3 have?
77% chance
Will there exist a service for full-parameter fine-tuning of Llama 3.1 405B?
48% chance
Will Llama-3 (or next open Meta model) be obviously good in its first-order effects on the world?
85% chance