Will Luis Arraez finish with a batting average at or above .400 at the All-Star Break?
6
73
150
resolved Jul 10
Resolved
NO

Florida Marlins hitter Luis Arraez finished the month of April with a .438 batting average, which would be a modern record if expanded across a full season. To shorten the horizon, I want to test if Arraez will get to mid-July at .3995 or higher.

Multiple players in the past 30 years have flirted with the mythical .400 BA, but the closest finish was during the strike-shortened 1994 season, where Padres outfielder Tony Gwynn held a .394 BA when players went on strike in August of that year.

The last player to finish a full season above .400 was Red Sox outfielder Ted Williams, who was given the option to sit during the September 28 double-header against the Philadelphia Athletics. Williams refused, played both games, and hit safely in 6 of his 8 official at-bats, raising his final batting average from .3996 to .4057.

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Don’t look now, but as of June 6, 2023, Arraez has a batting average of .401, marking the longest a hitter has gone into the season with an average above .400 since Hall of Famer Chipper Jones finished his first 73 games with a .400 BA through June 18 during the 2008 season.