Will 42 or fewer total games be played during the 2024 MLB Postseason?
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3
Ṁ125
Nov 8
53%
chance

Under the new format, the four series in the Wild Card are best of three, leading to a range of 8 to 12 games.

The four Division series are best of five, leading to a range of 12 to 20 games.

The two League Championship Series and the World Series are both best of seven, leading to a range of 8 to 14 games for the LCS and 4 to 7 games for the World Series.

The minimum total games, provided every series is a sweep, is 32 and the maximum total, given every series goes the distance, is 53.

For the record, the total number of games played under the current playoff format from previous years.

2023 - 41 total games, two full series (both LCS) and six sweeps
2022 - 40 total games, one full series (Division) and five sweeps

Given the increased parity among the playoff-eligible teams remaining this late in the season, there is more potential for longer series this October.

EDIT: I have changed the parameters to include the total number of 42, since the median between 32 and 53 is 42.5.

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For those of you keeping score at home, the total games played during the wild card series was 9.

Total number of remaining games cannot exceed 33 to resolve YES.

Fun fact: this market was a lateral away from the original concept for this market, which was trying to tie the total number of runs scored throughout the postseason to the winning Presidential candidate's electoral vote total. However, I think the current neck-and-neck polls reflect a much closer race than the 330+ total runs scored under the current format both in 2023 and 2022