The following 15 states will hold their respective caucus/primary on March 5, 2024 with party-specific where noted:
Alabama
Alaska (Republican)
Arkansas
California
Colorado
Maine
Massachusetts
Minnesota
North Carolina
Oklahoma
Tennessee
Texas
Utah (Democratic primary/Republican caucus)
Vermont
Virginia
Will resolve YES if any Republican candidate challenging Donald Trump still remaining in the race or has dropped out but is still receiving votes earns enough votes in a given state to win the most delegates in one of the states above.
Edit to add: Following Nevada, I will absolutely count “None of these” toward a YES resolution since that option is not Donald Trump, provided he is on the ballot.
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3.00@RobSheko @SemioticRivalry I’m curious which of these states y’all believe Haley or “None of these” is going to win (ETA: I’m not invested in my own market and don’t plan to be, just saw the comment notifications pop up)
@SemioticRivalry Oh snap. I haven’t seen the live updates, but until today, yeah, this market was anticipating a sweep