Which of the following defense companies will have the highest overall change in stock price in CY2025?
4
1kṀ540
2026
19%
Boeing Co (BA)
14%
General Dynamics Corp (GD)
10%
Lockheed Martin Corp (LMT)
28%
Northrop Grumman Corp (NOC)
29%
RTX, formerly Raytheon (RTX)

These are major companies in the same industry that I want to track during the year. Here are the opening prices from 1/2/2025 for each of these companies:

BA - $178.77
GD - $265.27
LMT - $484.56
NOC - $471.99
RTX - $117.01

Final result will be change in its individual stock price from opening 1/2/2025 to close 12/31/2025, not which company ends with the highest market cap or highest stock price or volume.

Note: I do not generally trade or bet on my own markets, but because I work for one of these organizations, I specifically will not influence this market in any way beyond reporting the changes in stock price.

  • Update 2025-02-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution Metric: This market will resolve based on the highest absolute change in stock price from the opening price on 1/2/2025 to the closing price on 12/31/2025, rather than on the highest percentage increase.

    • Example: If Raytheon gains 19% over the year but Boeing drops 20%, the market will resolve in favor of Boeing due to the larger absolute movement.

    • Interpretation: Both positive and negative changes are considered based on their absolute value.

  • Update 2025-02-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator

    • This market will resolve based on the highest absolute change in the stock price from the opening price on 1/2/2025 to the closing price on 12/31/2025.

    • Only markets with the phrase "highest overall change" (like this one and the semiconductor market) use this criterion.

    • Other markets using terms such as "best year" will resolve based on the highest increase or lowest overall decrease.

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