These are major companies in the same industry that I want to track during the year. Here are the opening prices from 1/2/2025 for each of these companies:
BA - $178.77
GD - $265.27
LMT - $484.56
NOC - $471.99
RTX - $117.01
Final result will be change in its individual stock price from opening 1/2/2025 to close 12/31/2025, not which company ends with the highest market cap or highest stock price or volume.
Note: I do not generally trade or bet on my own markets, but because I work for one of these organizations, I specifically will not influence this market in any way beyond reporting the changes in stock price.
Update 2025-02-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Resolution Metric: This market will resolve based on the highest absolute change in stock price from the opening price on 1/2/2025 to the closing price on 12/31/2025, rather than on the highest percentage increase.
Example: If Raytheon gains 19% over the year but Boeing drops 20%, the market will resolve in favor of Boeing due to the larger absolute movement.
Interpretation: Both positive and negative changes are considered based on their absolute value.
Update 2025-02-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Update from creator
This market will resolve based on the highest absolute change in the stock price from the opening price on 1/2/2025 to the closing price on 12/31/2025.
Only markets with the phrase "highest overall change" (like this one and the semiconductor market) use this criterion.
Other markets using terms such as "best year" will resolve based on the highest increase or lowest overall decrease.
1,000As of Valentine's Day 2025:
Boeing - $178.77 ($184.42 as of close 2/14: +3.16%)
General Dynamics - $265.27 ($241.94 as of close 2/14: -8.79%)
Lockheed Martin - $484.56 ($423.19 as of close 2/14: -12.67%)
Northrop Grumman - $471.99 ($438.90 as of close 2/14: -7.01%)
Raytheon - $117.01 ($122.41 as of close 2/14: +4.61%)
Dang. I hadn't been tracking this market so far this year, but it looks like Boeing's recovery from a... turbulent... 2024 might win them this one. Depends on how the three in the middle recover, if they do.
After reviewing the original question as I posted it, I realized the way I worded it can be tricky for resolution. If you're jumping into this market or any where I state "highest overall change," be mindful that this will resolve based on highest absolute value vs highest increase. For example, if Raytheon gains 19% on the year but Boeing drops 20% overall, this market will resolve for Boeing.
I'll go back and see if this is how I worded all of my stock questions.
@JussiVilleHeiskanen yes, if I resolved today. I realized only this one and the semiconductor market has the “highest overall change” wording. The others say some form of “best year.” Those will resolve to the highest increase or lowest overall decrease.