Which MLB team will be the first to guarantee a winning record during the 2024 season? (First to 82 wins)
22
1.2kṀ12k
resolved Sep 1
100%99.1%
Los Angeles Dodgers (78 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%
Philadelphia Phillies (77 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%
Cleveland Guardians (75 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%
Baltimore Orioles (76 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%
New York Yankees (78 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%
Milwaukee Brewers (75 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%
Minnesota Twins (72 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%
San Diego Padres (75 wins as of 8/26)
0.1%Other

Win totals reflected above are current prior to games scheduled for 8/26/2024*.

Set close of this market to September 6, 2024, but I will watch this weekend’s games closely to resolve following the first team to 82 wins as soon as possible.

Edit, 8/12/2024: Something I didn’t account for is the possibility of two or more teams reaching their 82nd win on the same day. While it will be tricky for me, I will monitor times of day for teams in this race and will resolve based on games’ start time and finish time.

Example: The Philadelphia Phillies and New York Yankees have 81 wins on September 1, 2024. Phillies are scheduled to play the Washington Nationals in Philadelphia at 1 pm ET, and the Yankees are scheduled to play the Arizona Diamondbacks in Arizona at 2:30 pm at whatever the fuck time it is in Arizona on September 1. Phillies/Nationals game goes into extra innings, and the barn burner goes to 23 innings and goes for 8 hours and 34 minutes, finishing at 9:35 ET, with the Phillies winning on a Kyle Schwarber walk off. Yankees and Diamondbacks finish in regulation with the Yankees’ Luis Gil going the distance and only throwing 93 pitches in a 2-0 shutout that lasts 2 hours and 46 minutes, finishing at 5:16 AZT or 8:16 ET.

In this case, while the Yankees started later but finished first with a win, I would resolve this for the Yankees.

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