2025 MLB season includes a day where all division leaders lose?
3
100Ṁ21
Nov 7
41%
chance

I'm challenging myself to track more closely and regularly than I have, so I'm setting up this market to remind myself to log in and check at least this market for resolution.

Assumptions based on other markets I've created:

- A game that begins on one date but goes past midnight their local time would still count as a loss for a team on the originally scheduled date
- A game that is postponed due to weather or other unforeseen circumstances will not count towards the originally scheduled game date
- One team from each division, not the six teams with the best record, must lose for this market to resolve YES
- A division in which two or more teams are tied for the lead will only require one of those two teams to lose to resolve this market YES

Market can only resolve NO at the conclusion of the 2025 regular season

Market can resolve YES at any time if the above criteria are met.

  • Update 2025-05-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Dates prior to May 4, 2025, will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

  • Update 2025-05-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator's comment specifies the effective start date for the market's observation period:

    • The first day for which market resolution conditions were evaluated for a YES resolution is May 4, 2025.

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I haven’t checked the entire run of today’s or yesterday’s games, but the fact that the Detroit Tigers are on a 3-game winning streak indicates they have not lost since the creation of this market.

I will monitor daily and post updates. I’ll report the first win I see in the scores each day.

5/6 results

Yankees - win
Tigers - postponed
Mariners - win
Mets - loss
Cubs - loss
Dodgers - loss

Two days in, and I’m already falling behind.

5/4 - first day I post this I almost resolved YES save for the Tigers’ win over the Angels.

5/5 - Division leaders’ record 4-2, Yankees and Mariners holding Ls.

New note: No dates prior to May 4, 2025, will be considered for resolution of this market.

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