Will armed conflict break out between Ethiopia and Eritrea by December 31, 2024?
16
64
Ṁ424Ṁ333
2025
35%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-67332811
Tensions have been increasing between Ethiopia and Eritrea as Ethiopian Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed has led a PR push about the country's need for consistent access to a seaport. Ethiopia is the world's largest landlocked country. Ethiopia and Eritrea engaged in a bloody border war from 1999-2001, but Abiy signed a peace deal in 2018 to restore ties, for which he won the Nobel Peace Prize.
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