Will Austin say "Arson" out loud at least once on May 17th? [Subsidized Ṁ100 LMAO]
11
330Ṁ394
resolved May 17
Resolved
YES

Resolves YES if I hear that @Austin said "Arson" out loud at least one time on May 17th. Otherwise, obviously NO. This market is open to manipulation!

In the rare event that Austin finds this market, he gets final say over resolution.

Warning: If you don't know why this market is a thing, don't bet no.

Apr 27, 6:25pm: Will Austin say "Arson" out loud at least once on May 17th? → Will Austin say "Arson" out loud at least once on May 17th? [Subsidized Ṁ100 LMAO]

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gg

predictedYES

My victory is assured

predictedYES

Austin coming is basically assured, and all it requires is a crisp 20 dollar bill for this market to resolve 'correctly'...

predictedYES

@NicoAlberti you're paying $20 for this?? bet you could do it for free

wait austin shapiro?

is this assuming he comes
also are we allowed to try to get him to say arson

@amzoeee "This market is open to manipulation!" Resolves NO if there is no evidence, though (word of mouth) (still no if he doesn't come and there is no evidence)

@KyleWan ohhh okay cool

predictedYES

@KyleWan I should clarify - word of mouth from trustworthy sources is enough to resolve yes. My bad.

@KyleWan who is a "trustworthy source"

predictedYES

@amzoeee uhh let's say a trio of not-randos.

predictedNO

@KyleWan a trio?

predictedYES

@amzoeee let's just say consensus

@KyleWan trustworthy should be someone with the trustworthyish badge!

....ahem, @Conflux

predictedYES

@ithildulin though i suppose if austin himself testifies that he said "arson" it would work too

@ithildulin as the proofnik ambassador, @Conflux has so much manipulative power fr.

Completely allowed though!

@KyleWan haha y'all gotta make it ""worth my while"" to manipulate

predictedNO

@KyleWan shouldnt he be neutral and not allowed to bet if hes the one making the decision
or idk

predictedYES

@amzoeee no he doesnt decide the resolution of this market. I'm just saying that he could probably get Austin to say arson or to not say arson.

predictedNO

@KyleWan yea no that's fair

predictedYES

@KyleWan y’all could do it too!

OMG LMAOOO idbjandsk;msad;kls dude theres no way

BAHAHAHAHA I LOVE THIS

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