https://manifold.markets/DanielRohrer/will-there-be-a-white-christmas-in?r=RGFuaWVsUm9ocmVy

34% chance. For reference, here are the last 6 years of data, over which the average is 34.4%:

2022: 53% White Christmas

2021: 26.6%

2020: 26.5%

2019: 28.1%

2018: 24.6%

2017: 49%

This will be determined by the results on NOAA's website: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/



Will there be a White Christmas in more than 30% of the United States on 12/25/23?

Prediction based on the video below (8:38):

https://youtu.be/Ndp8nrMQq3o?si=d4KHMiujX_oU1Fnr

"Measurable snow is defined as an accumulation of at least 0.1 inches, so if the season's first snowflakes don't stick to the ground, it's not considered the official first snowfall in the weather records."

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ86
2		Ṁ13
3		Ṁ8
4		Ṁ6
5		Ṁ1

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