What will be true about the person @Aella will marry?
11
725Ṁ381
2050
83%
Wants to have kids
76%
Believes abortion is ethically acceptable
64%
Has a podcast
59%
Lives in the United States
57%
Works for an AI company
52%
Has attended Manifest
50%
Is under 40 years old
50%
Is atheist
50%
Is agnostic
50%
Wants to live primarily in Austin, TX
50%
Has a net worth of more than 1 million dollars
50%
Believes Deontology is a better ethical theory than either Utilitarianism or Nicomachean ethics
50%
Believes the death penalty is ethically acceptable
50%
Is taller than 6' 3"
50%
Is a veteran
50%
Is a vegetarian
50%
Is a materialist (in the philosophical sense)
50%
Has done DMT
50%
Has been to burning man
41%
Lives in California

Aella is one of my favorite people.

I hope she finds a husband that makes her happy.

I think her $100k incentive is a smart investment.

I'd like to help her.

I think putting $100k of liquidity into this market would really help her.

It would also:

(1) Strategically reward that liquidity decentrally to the individuals that successfully identify descriptive properties of her future husband.

(2) Distribute the incentive to a vast array of individuals instead of a lump sum to one person.

(3) Provide her helpful data points for identifying a suitable partner.

(4) Help me establish a positive relationship with her and the Manifold community in general.

(5) Hopefully provide a basis for how systems like this could be scaled to accomplish other tasks (how we could use the krantz mechanism to decentrally reward those that identify the properties that a safe AI would have).

It based on this tweet:

https://x.com/therealkrantz/status/1953641843721138533?t=TlI2X1JrU3YgQ71r9V0dzQ&s=19

This will resolve at Aella's discretion.

She might prefer to make a similar market for herself.

I hope I haven't done anything offensive.

I'm genuinely just trying to help and believe this would be effective.

  • Update 2025-08-08 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Regarding children: "has kids" refers to having kids from a previous relationship (i.e., with someone other than Aella), not kids that the person might have with Aella after they meet.

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Do we know Nate Soares's age and religious beliefs (Bing Copilot AI didn't know)? Also if she has kids with someone before they get married does that count as that person "having kids" or is that specifically about other people's kids?

@TheAllMemeingEye I would think it would refer to having kids from a previous relationship. I can clarify that by changing it to "has kids with someone else" if nobody sees a problem with that.

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