What am I going to do next?
What am I going to do next?
3
270Ṁ3572030
59%
Solve education
9%
Go on Liv Boeree's Win/Win podcast and explain how to kill Moloch by solving the control problem, by solving education.
8%
6%
Start a podcast with livestream forecasting and collective reasoning.
6%
Recieve a grant to create an open-source home school program where parents and kids work collectively to create lessons and earn crypto credentials.
3%
Go on Lex Fridman and explain how to solve the control problem by solving education.
2%
Publish an alignment plan
2%
Travel to a new country
1.7%
Find a new job
What am I going to do next?? In life.
The objective is to look me up, @Krantz (also @therealkrantz on X).
Try to judge my objectives in life.
Offer some life advice on 'What I should try to do next with my life.'.
Best life advice (in the form of an answer) wins.
Resolves when I'm confident the next big decision in my life is to follow the advice of a given user's submission.
Thanks for helping control my future! 😁
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Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
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Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.