Will resolve 'na' if Krantz fails to go on a 'proper date' with Robin Hanson by 2030.
Will resolve 'yes' if work stemming from a 'proper date' between Krantz and Robin results in a Nobel Prize for Economics.
Will resolve 'no' if work stemming from a 'proper date' between Krantz and Robin does not result in a Nobel Prize in economics before 2050.
Proper date defined:
https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-aella-and-i-go-on-a-proper-date
1,000@Krantz Say, for the sake or argument, the person of interest in this or your similarly worded markets wins their Nobel Prize by the deadline, but you haven't gone on a "proper date" with them yet.
Does this imply that, at that point in time, the market has pivoted to ask only if you will go on a "proper date" with them?
Edit: --I'm assuming it would have to either resolve YES or N/A at that point, in which case, it should theoretically trade up to near 100% and sit there.