If Krantz goes on a proper date with Robin Hanson, they will win a Nobel Prize in Economics.
8
1.1kṀ4695
2030
37%
chance
11

Will resolve 'na' if Krantz fails to go on a 'proper date' with Robin Hanson by 2030.

Will resolve 'yes' if work stemming from a 'proper date' between Krantz and Robin results in a Nobel Prize for Economics.

Will resolve 'no' if a 'proper date' occurs and neither Krantz nor Robin win the Nobel Prize in economics before 2050.

Proper date defined:

https://manifold.markets/Krantz/if-aella-and-i-go-on-a-proper-date

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