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MANIFOLD
Will Venezuela be mentioned in the December 6 Republican Presidential debate?
31
Ṁ650Ṁ3.2k
resolved Dec 7
Resolved as
20%

If a candidate, moderator, or heckler mentions Venezuela, resolve to YES. Otherwise, resolve to NO. If "Venezuela" can be audibly heard in the official broadcast, it is sufficient to resolve to YES. I plan to watch the debate in real time, but please put proof in the comments. I may bet in this market.

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Resolving 20% since Haley says "Venezuelans". Should've anticipated an edge case like this. Thank you to everyone for placing bets!

predictedYES

@Kraalnaxx Since you said if “venezuela” was in any point heard in the official broadcast you would resolve to yes, the fact that Nikki said “Venezuelans” should resolve to YES or at least a higher percentage.

@drcat Similarity Percentage=

( Number of Common Characters/Average Length of the Two Words) ×100

number of common characters: 7 (v,e,n,z,u,l,a)

average length= 10

7/10 = 70%

I could understand 0%, but 20% seems so arbitrary

predictedNO

Nikki Haley did say "Venezuelans". Don't think this counts though.

@JackD Could you remind me of the context where she says Venezuelans?

@Kraalnaxx doesn't seem to have been mentioned

predictedNO

@adk Pretty funny that they mentioned it 10 times last debate, then didn’t mention it at all after it literally invades its neighbor. We really talk a big game on foreign policy.