This market is meant to track the weights of opinions of Manifold users, not the probability of an outcome.

This market resolves to Market% value somewhere between elections and the end of the year. You decide how much to buy depending on your opinion strength and how worth it is to be represented on Manifold.

Bet Yes if you prefer Biden as a president.

Bet No if you prefer Trump as a president.

You may also bet between elections and the resolution to represent the sentiment "society has made a mistake/ a right choice".