Phil Hellmuth enters WSOP Main Event this year?
Phil Hellmuth enters WSOP Main Event this year?
6
100Ṁ45Jul 6
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
This market resolves to YES if Phil Hellmuth enters the 2025 World Series of Poker (WSOP) Main Event. It resolves to NO if he does not enter the tournament.
Background
Phil Hellmuth is a professional poker player who holds the record for the most WSOP bracelets (16). He has participated in the WSOP Main Event for 37 consecutive years.
In February 2025, Hellmuth announced that he would not be playing in the 2025 WSOP Main Event. He cited the grueling nature of the tournament, which he believes has become more of an endurance test than a test of skill, particularly affecting older players.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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