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MANIFOLD
By Sept 7 2031, will an AI securely control a US legal entity and its assets, with no human holding legal authority?
2
Ṁ100Ṁ23
2031
21%
chance

Resolves YES if, by September 7, 2031, there is a credible public example of an AI system controlling a U.S. legal entity (e.g., a memberless or DAO LLC) and its assets where no human retains ultimate legal authority over the entity — no member, manager, shareholder, trustee, or contractual kill-switch holder with the legal power to override or replace the AI's control.

Evidence sufficient for YES (any one):

  • a U.S. court decision or state authority treating such an entity as validly formed and operating;

  • an entity operating openly in this configuration for 12+ months (assets under its control, transactions executed) without successful legal challenge, as documented by credible reporting or filings.

Not sufficient: entities where a human or human-controlled body can legally dissolve, amend, or take over the entity (ordinary 'AI-run' companies with human owners); offshore or non-US entities; purely on-chain DAOs with no U.S. legal wrapper.

Background: Shawn Bayern has argued existing LLC law already permits software-controlled memberless entities (see also Wyoming's DAO LLC statute); courts and legislatures have not yet tested the fully human-free configuration. Created alongside a set of markets on AI legal personhood and property rights.

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