Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2023 Formula 1 United States Grand Prix (COTA, Austin)?
38
730Ṁ22k
resolved Oct 22
Resolved
YES

A podium finish is any place in the top 3 positions. The race will take place on October 22, 2023.

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predictedYES

Anyone who feels aggrieved by the way this was resolved feel free to leave a comment here. https://gist.github.com/kevinburke/190b4c7fedfae12bc8e115519f4a9541

predictedYES

Lmao is it because you also have stakes in him on podium?

predictedYES

@NotOvertillJoever No, it’s because it violates the participants expectations of how the market should behave.

If someone was filling NO limit orders at 99% or commenting “I think Hamilton might get a post race DQ” while the race was going on, then I would absolutely consider updating the result. As it is the only NO bettors were F1 agnostic bots.

I already said I am going to update the resolution criteria going forward.

predictedYES

@NotOvertillJoever @KevinBurke For sports I think this is fine, as at least for myself I'm betting on whether he will overtake/etc based on news and live events, rather than whether his wood is 1 inch smaller than regulations or the such. Maybe in the future we should just accept markets that resolve according to race results as shown on TV to make it clearer.

predictedYES

@parhizj See discussion on discord

predictedYES

I’m not re-resolving this if he gets disqualified. It would not have been possible to guess this. I will update the race criteria to make this clearer going forward https://twitter.com/ChrisMedlandF1/status/1716220565160071425

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