Will a soldier from a NATO country be confirmed killed in action inside Ukraine during 2024?
➕
Plus
52
Ṁ5892
Dec 31
5%
chance

Must be serving in a NATO military at time of death, which must be while on duty. Pre-2014 borders. Includes airstrikes. Must be reported in 3 out of following: BBC, NYT, CNN, Reuters, AP.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ20 NO

Just a friendly reminder, that Republic of Türkiye is also member of NATO

@ibuprofen Sorry, updated description to discount these cases.

@Keepcalmandchill But when I bet, wouldn't it have counted given the live description?

I presume this only includes soldiers that are in duty for their country at the time of death? I.e. members of the foreign troops under AFU wouldn't count, right?

@MartinModrak Correct, updated description.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules