Which country will be the next one to default on its government debt?
13
Ṁ1kṀ672Jan 1
43%
Egypt
12%
San Marino
8%
Tunisia
7%
Russia
7%
Lebanon
7%Other
5%
Sri Lanka
5%
Pakistan
4%
Argentina
1.0%
KENYA
Close date updated to 2024-01-01 6:10 pm
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?
3% chance
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
Will the us default on its Sovereign debt before the current President leaves office?
Which country will have the highest debt to GDP ratio in 2035?
Will the Chinese government default on any debt payments before 2028?
19% chance
Will Argentina default before 2027?
9% chance
France defaults on debt by 2027?
6% chance
Next airline to default
Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2030?
23% chance
Sort by:
Mostly going off of this https://www.reuters.com/markets/europe/big-default-dozen-countries-danger-zone-2022-07-15/.
It seems like Ghana is currently defaulting on loans? https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ghana-announces-external-debt-payment-suspension-slipping-into-default-2022-12-19/
People are also trading
Related questions
US defaults on debt held by China before 2027?
3% chance
When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?
Will the us default on its Sovereign debt before the current President leaves office?
Which country will have the highest debt to GDP ratio in 2035?
Will the Chinese government default on any debt payments before 2028?
19% chance
Will Argentina default before 2027?
9% chance
France defaults on debt by 2027?
6% chance
Next airline to default
Will any G20 member government collapse by end 2030?
23% chance