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MANIFOLD
Will Meta release the 405B weights in any form from 12:01 AM AM PDT and Midnight 12:00 PDT on July 23rd 2024
21
Ṁ10kṀ110k
resolved Jul 23
Resolved
YES

The weights MUST be from an offical source like Meta or torrents seeded by Meta, or Hugging Face offical release If the weights are leaked or faked this market resolved as a no.

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btw news trading on barely-traded plus markets isnt fun tbh i'll try to set the probability earlier on future ones

Agreed. I see you are a mod can there be internal discussions on this? I thought it would be a fun market to make a plus because of all the hype around Llama 3.1 405B

bought Ṁ66,222 YES

it's out. https://llama.meta.com/llama-downloads/ https://github.com/meta-llama/llama-models/. they appear to approve requests instantly even if the info is all fake

bought Ṁ50 NO

For people wondering why anyone would think Meta would do it on this specific day:

https://www.theinformation.com/briefings/meta-platforms-to-release-largest-llama-3-model-on-july-23

It looks like weights have leaked at 410B not 405B. I think this small discrepency has no effect on the market just more info for traders.

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