Will excess pandemic deaths for US 15-64yos stay below 10%?
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Will excess mortality for those aged 15-64 in the US remain less than 10% above pre-pandemic-based projections until the end of June, according to this graph?
Screenshot from Nov 26; the first dotted line above the solid line is 10%:
Resolution will be based on the last datapoint before the end of June, even if some of June is included in the following datapoint.
[Added: I will resolve this after Oct 1, because apparently it can take some time for this data to come in.]
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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