Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2025?
Plus
10
Ṁ3332025
4%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently, cars kill about 40,000 Americans a year; the number has not dropped below 30,000 since 1945. Will we do better in the future?
Note that this market looks at the absolute number of deaths, rather than the death rate.
I will resolve to data from the U.S. Department of Transportation’s National Highway Traffic Safety Administration, if available. This data may be delayed by some months (6+ months is common), and while I may resolve based on early data (e.g., the first 9 months + projection of the remaining 3), in the case of a YES resolution a significant delay should be expected.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2028?
30% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2029?
32% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2030?
40% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2040?
65% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2027?
15% chance
Will US automotive deaths drop below 30,000/yr by the end of 2026?
10% chance
Will fewer people die from road accidents in 2024 compared to 2023? (in the US, specifically)
34% chance
Fewer than 10k people die from car accidents annually in the US before 2040
54% chance
Will 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
59% chance
Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?
53% chance