At the close of this market physician generated medical notes will be reduced to 25% current length by use of AI tech.

Question

If by Jan 1st 2025 physician documented notes are reduced to 25% or less of current length due to increased use of AI to generate text, automate problem list documentation, or summarize patient-generated data, this market will be resolved: YES.

If by Jan 1st 2025 physician documented notes are largely unchanged with or without the addition of AI components this market will resolve NO.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Roughly even odds — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 47% chance (8 traders, as of Jan 19, 2024).

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