Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris publicly announces her candidacy for California governor at any time in 2025. The announcement must be reported by reputable news outlets such as Reuters, The Associated Press, or The Los Angeles Times. If no such announcement is made by December 31, 2025, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

Kamala Harris, former Vice President and U.S. Senator from California, has been considering a run for California governor in the 2026 election. Reports from March 2025 indicated that she planned to decide on her candidacy by the end of summer 2025. (abc7.com) As of June 2025, Harris has not publicly announced her decision. The current governor, Gavin Newsom, is term-limited and will leave office in early 2027. Other potential Democratic candidates include Lt. Gov. Eleni Kounalakis, former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa, and former Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra. (latimes.com)

Considerations

Harris's decision to run for governor may impact the dynamics of the Democratic primary, potentially influencing other candidates' decisions to enter or exit the race. Additionally, her choice could affect her political trajectory, including considerations for a future presidential bid. (latimes.com)